By Lance Geselbracht
0726 - The former Mayor tries to brush off my comments as amateurish and irresponsible. I would assign those descriptions to the people who did not read the
multitude of reports from registered professionals Lantzville hired to study the Harby Rd. aquifer.
He listed some hydrologist/engineering firms and suggested they recommended no new connections. That is complete nonsense! These firms, and the
ones I list below, simply gave estimates of the water available from the aquifer. Only two firms in 30 years have discussed water connections in a formal report to the district; Chatwin in 1984/1986 reports and the very recent 2015/2016 reports by Koers. The
approximate 10 other firms (incl. Chatwin) who were retained by Lantzville over a 30 year period merely discussed their finding relative to drilling new wells, pump testing wells and recommending maintenance items for the well field.
Here are some of
the other engineers who have prepared reports for Lantzville and their estimate of groundwater production from the five wells (4,5,6,9&12) used in Harby Rd. Flowrate for Well #3 is not included as that artesian well was retired.
Erdman and Associates, 2814 cm³/day (wells 4,5,6 only)
1988 Pacific Hydrology 2134 cm³/day *(wells 4,5,6)
1988 Chatwin 2945 cm³/da (wells 4,5,6,&9)
1996 Chatwin 3,048 cm³/day (wells 4,5,6,9&12)
2002 EBA 3,194 cm³/day (wells 4,5,6,9&12)
2014/2017 Lowen Consulting 3,103 cm³/day (wells 4,5,6,9&12)
I have relied on the preponderance of evidence to justify my comments of how much water the Harby Rd aquifer can produce.
These numbers don’t show the approximate 650 cm³/day nearby well #11 could add.
Lantzville could easily drill a new well, 15 meters from #11 back onto their property, to capture the groundwater represented by this well. These numbers
have been reduced by 30% as a “factor of safety”. I believe the current Council and staff now finally believes how much water the Harby Rd. aquifer can produce; it only took 30 years, 10 different consulting firms and some long overdue maintenance.
The problem is the outdated, unjustified connections standard arbitrarily established in 1984 that was just “borrowed” from the Bonnel Creek study. There were no good records on water use in the District as that time. Since then, we now
have 20 years of accurate water use by meter for each connection.
This is where the “Big Lie” has been justified for so many years and why Lantzville has denied water connections why knowing all along there is plenty of groundwater for everyone.
You don’t need to be Einstein, an engineer or supposed groundwater expert, just an understanding of third grade math to verify Lantzville has capacity right now for over 500 new connections. 3,103 cm³/day minus **1,241 (Lantzville’s highest
recorded day ever for the current 885 connections, see below) equals 1,862 cm³/day of excess capacity. That simple!!! That works out to 1.4 cm³/day per connection versus the current standard of 3.4 cm³/day being used. If you ignore
all the simple, hard data, you can continue with the “Big Lie”.
“But what if something happens ?” That something was never identified in the most recent engineering reports, but here are your Safety Valves to ensure
uninterrupted water supply:
Drill new well near #11
New reservoir being built for Lantzville Foothills, this storage can be used in calculations to meet maximum day flow.
Foothills' new wells are the additional source of water supply as
for by Lantzville’s engineers (May 25, 2016 report)
Stage II thru IV water restrictions can ensure there is ample water for all domestic needs during dry months.
Nanaimo water agreement is in place, pipe is in place. This can be the final
Council recently voted on a motion to reduce the connection standard to 2.5 cm³/day; it was defeated by a 4-3 vote. I don’t know what additional information the 4 counselors need, but would be happy to “walk”
council through the numbers. In the meantime, people who have been waiting 20 years for a connection will continue to wait as the “Big Lie” plays itself out.
* This production number was reduced to accommodate interference estimated
if Well #11 was simultaneously pumped. The actual effect of Well #11 was verified in subsequent pump tests.
** There was one higher day than this number but it occurred during pump testing of the Harby Rd. aquifer and needs to be discounted.