Nov. 28, 2020

Liberals still lead Conservatives nationally

Any chance that Erin O’Toole and the Conservatives were going to make significant gains have disappeared as the Covid second wave has now meant that people feel more government dependent and are clinging to a Liberal government whose penchant to please everyone knows no bounds. And with a willing NDP partner the money printing press is working overtime. 

A recent report by the Fraser Institute saying that the Canada’s fiscal situation is near crisis levels does not seem to resonate. The Institute said in part: “As the pandemic continues, Ottawa and the provinces have embarked on a fiscal cruise whose ultimate port of destination is not necessarily a safe harbour. With an estimated federal deficit of more than $343 billion for 2020-21 combined with estimated provincial deficits totalling $95 billion, the country is awash in a sea of red ink.”

And the Conservatives have not articulated a more responsible path of more targeted investments as recommended by the Barrington Declaration, a global document signed by 12,372 medical and public heath scientists and 36,450 medical practitioners. In part it says, “The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection. ‘

To see how Canada did not do anything for a long time on international travel, still is soft on China from whence the virus originated and who allowed persons to go to other counties from Wuhan but not to other parts of their own country. Canada has been slow on testing (even today Canada does less than 300,000 per million of testing while the U.S. is almost 600,000 per million), and has no capability to produce any of the vaccines to witness a country always catching up and lacking leadership– and denigrates the neighbour from whom the vaccines will flow next year. 

Can you believe this? 

Such is the state of our federation, warped in mediocrity, political incompetence, with no sense of responsibility for tomorrow’s citizens, or efforts to be creative and innovative as to how to tackle the present circumstance even when examples exist around the world. 

The latest Abacus poll is revealing – the numbers if voting today: 

• In BC, the Liberals at 34 per cent lead the Conservatives by six (28 per cent). The Conservatives won the popular vote in thais province in 2019 by eight points.

• In Ontario, the Liberals (43%) lead by 12 over the Conservatives (31%). The Liberal margin in the 2019 election was nine points.

• In Quebec, the Liberals (35%) lead the BQ by six (29%). The Liberals finished just 2 points ahead of the BQ in 2019.

• In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals are at 47%, followed by the Conservatives at 24%.

Approval rating: On a regional basis, B.C. voters give Ottawa a +25 (53% approve/28% disapprove) 

in Ontario the spread is +19 (54% approve/33% disapprove) 

and in Quebec +11 (44% approve/33% disapprove).

Almost one in four (22%) who voted Conservative in 2019 approve of the federal government performance right now, as do 46% of those who voted NDP and 39% of those who voted Green.