Jul. 30, 2021
Are B.C. Covid case counts accurate? Probably not
The Justice Centre For Constitutional Freedoms keeps an open current data bank on all the provinces of Canada as it relates to Covid matters.
As of July 26 it reports that BC uses a cycle for its PCR tests of 35 to 40 cycles .
A recent report in the doctors4covidethics website that is to be used in a lawsuit , entitled ‘ Expert evidence regarding Comirnaty (Pfizer) COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine for children’ by Doctors , Michael Palmer MD, Sucharit Bhakdi MD, Stefan Hockertz PhD the following is detailed :
‘Unfortunately, the number of amplification cycles (the Ct value) needed to find the genetic material in question is rarely included in the results sent to authorities, doctors and those tested.
Most commercially available RT-qPCR tests set the limit of amplification cycles up to which an amplification signal should be considered positive at 35 or higher. Multiple studies have indicated that Ct values above 30 have a very low predictive value for positive virus cultures, and thus for infectiousness or the presence of acute disease [15, 26–28].
Considering that in many clinical trials—including the ones conducted by Pfizer (see later)—a ‘COVID-19 case’, or an ‘endpoint’ amounts to no more than a positive PCR test, regardless of Ct value, in combination with one or a few non-specific symptoms of respiratory disease, the significance of the use of improperly high Ct cut-off values cannot be overstated.
This systematic and widespread error alone has sufficed to gravely distort the diagnoses conferred on individual patients, as well as the epidemiology of the pandemic as a whole…’
‘In summary, a positive RT-qPCR test result cannot be accepted as proof that the person in question is currently infected and infectious—even if there is reasonable clinical plausibility of actualCOVID-19 infection, as well as a significant community prevalence of the disease.”
In other words it is likely that the case counts used in BC if dependent upon the standard PCR tests using 35 to 40 cycles , which from the evidence seems probable , are unreliable.
Based on this analysis we really don’t know the true case count in this Province and given that most Provinces use the same cycle( range from 33 to 40 depending on Province) for their PCR tests we really don’t know a valid case count for Canada.
Michael Palmer MD is Associate Professor in the Department of Chemistry at the University of Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. He studied Medicine and Medical Microbiology in Germany and has taught Biochemistry since 2001 in Canada. His focus is on Pharmacology, metabolism, biological membranes and computer programming, with an experimental research focus on bacterial toxins and antibiotics (Daptomycin). He has written a textbook on Biochemical Pharmacology.
Sucharit Bhakdi MD is Professor Emeritus of Medical Microbiology and Immunology and Former Chair at the Institute of Medical Microbiology and Hygiene, Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz.
Stefan Hockertz is Professor of Toxicology and Pharmacology, a European registered Toxicologist and Specialist in Immunology and Immunotoxicology. He is CEO of tpi consult GmbH.
All three are founding signatories of Doctors for Covid Ethics